Computational physiological models for individualised mechanical ventilation: a systematic literature review focussing on quality, availability, and clinical readiness.

BACKGROUND: Individualised optimisation of mechanical ventilation (MV) remains cumbersome in modern intensive care medicine. Computerised, model-based support systems could help in tailoring MV settings to the complex interactions between MV and the individual patient's pathophysiology. Therefore, we critically appraised the current literature on computational physiological models (CPMs) for individualised MV in the ICU with a focus on quality, availability, and clinical readiness. METHODS: A systematic literature search was conducted on 13 February 2023 in MEDLINE ALL, Embase, Scopus and Web of Science to identify original research articles describing CPMs for individualised MV in the ICU. The modelled physiological phenomena, clinical applications, and level of readiness were extracted. The quality of model design reporting and validation was assessed based on American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME) standards. RESULTS: Out of 6,333 unique publications, 149 publications were included. CPMs emerged since the 1970s with increasing levels of readiness. A total of 131 articles (88%) modelled lung mechanics, mainly for lung-protective ventilation. Gas exchange (n = 38, 26%) and gas homeostasis (n = 36, 24%) models had mainly applications in controlling oxygenation and ventilation. Respiratory muscle function models for diaphragm-protective ventilation emerged recently (n = 3, 2%). Three randomised controlled trials were initiated, applying the Beacon and CURE Soft models for gas exchange and PEEP optimisation. Overall, model design and quality were reported unsatisfactory in 93% and 21% of the articles, respectively. CONCLUSION: CPMs are advancing towards clinical application as an explainable tool to optimise individualised MV. To promote clinical application, dedicated standards for quality assessment and model reporting are essential. Trial registration number PROSPERO- CRD42022301715 . Registered 05 February, 2022.

Dynamic prediction of mortality in COVID-19 patients in the intensive care unit: A retrospective multi-center cohort study.

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic continues to overwhelm intensive care units (ICUs) worldwide, and improved prediction of mortality among COVID-19 patients could assist decision making in the ICU setting. In this work, we report on the development and validation of a dynamic mortality model specifically for critically ill COVID-19 patients and discuss its potential utility in the ICU. Methods: We collected electronic medical record (EMR) data from 3222 ICU admissions with a COVID-19 infection from 25 different ICUs in the Netherlands. We extracted daily observations of each patient and fitted both a linear (logistic regression) and non-linear (random forest) model to predict mortality within 24 h from the moment of prediction. Isotonic regression was used to re-calibrate the predictions of the fitted models. We evaluated the models in a leave-one-ICU-out (LOIO) cross-validation procedure. Results: The logistic regression and random forest model yielded an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.87 [0.85; 0.88] and 0.86 [0.84; 0.88], respectively. The recalibrated model predictions showed a calibration intercept of -0.04 [-0.12; 0.04] and slope of 0.90 [0.85; 0.95] for logistic regression model and a calibration intercept of -0.19 [-0.27; -0.10] and slope of 0.89 [0.84; 0.94] for the random forest model. Discussion: We presented a model for dynamic mortality prediction, specifically for critically ill COVID-19 patients, which predicts near-term mortality rather than in-ICU mortality. The potential clinical utility of dynamic mortality models such as benchmarking, improving resource allocation and informing family members, as well as the development of models with more causal structure, should be topics for future research.

Attitudes of Dutch intensive care unit clinicians towards oxygen therapy.

BACKGROUND: Over the last decade, there has been an increasing awareness for the potential harm of the administration of too much oxygen. We aimed to describe self-reported attitudes towards oxygen therapy by clinicians from a large representative sample of intensive care units (ICUs) in the Netherlands. METHODS: In April 2019, 36 ICUs in the Netherlands were approached and asked to send out a questionnaire (59 questions) to their nursing and medical staff (ICU clinicians) eliciting self-reported behaviour and attitudes towards oxygen therapy in general and in specific ICU case scenarios. RESULTS: In total, 1361 ICU clinicians (71% nurses, 24% physicians) from 28 ICUs returned the questionnaire. Of responding ICU clinicians, 64% considered oxygen-induced lung injury to be a major concern. The majority of respondents considered a partial pressure of oxygen (PaO2) of 6-10 kPa (45-75 mmHg) and an arterial saturation (SaO2) of 85-90% as acceptable for 15 minutes, and a PaO2 7-10 kPa (53-75 mmHg) and SaO2 90-95% as acceptable for 24-48 hours in an acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) patient. In most case scenarios, respondents reported not to change the fraction of inspired oxygen (FiO2) if SaO2 was 90-95% or PaO2 was 12 kPa (90 mmHg). CONCLUSION: A representative sample of ICU clinicians from the Netherlands were concerned about oxygen-induced lung injury, and reported that they preferred PaO2 and SaO2 targets in the lower physiological range and would adjust ventilation settings accordingly.

A cross-sectional investigation of communication in Do-Not-Resuscitate orders in Dutch hospitals.

BACKGROUND: The decision to attempt or refrain from resuscitation is preferably based on prognostic factors for outcome and subsequently communicated with patients. Both patients and physicians consider good communication important, however little is known about patient involvement in and understanding of cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) directives. AIM: To determine the prevalence of Do Not Resuscitate (DNR)-orders, to describe recollection of CPR-directive conversations and factors associated with patient recollection and understanding. METHODS: This was a two-week nationwide multicentre cross-sectional observational study using a study-specific survey. The study population consisted of patients admitted to non-monitored wards in 13 hospitals. Data were collected from the electronic medical record (EMR) concerning CPR-directive, comorbidity and at-home medication. Patients reported their perception and expectations about CPR-counselling through a questionnaire. RESULTS: A total of 1136 patients completed the questionnaire. Patients' CPR-directives were documented in the EMR as follows: 63.7% full code, 27.5% DNR and in 8.8% no directive was documented. DNR was most often documented for patients >80 years (66.4%) and in patients using >10 medications (45.3%). Overall, 55.8% of patients recalled having had a conversation about their CPR-directive and 48.1% patients reported the same CPR-directive as the EMR. Most patients had a good experience with the CPR-directive conversation in general (66.1%), as well as its timing (84%) and location (94%) specifically. CONCLUSIONS: The average DNR-prevalence is 27.5%. Correct understanding of their CPR-directive is lowest in patients aged ≥80 years and multimorbid patients. CPR-directive counselling should focus more on patient involvement and their correct understanding.

Activated protein C attenuates pulmonary coagulopathy in patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome.

OBJECTIVE: Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) frequently complicates critical illness. We hypothesized that an infusion of recombinant human activated protein C (rh-APC), a natural anticoagulant, would attenuate pulmonary coagulopathy and injury. METHODS: In this sub study of a multicenter open-label randomized controlled trial of patients with ARDS, we compared an intravenous (i.v.) infusion of rh-APC (24 mcg kg(-1)  h(-1) for 96 h) with placebo. Patients with sepsis or septic shock were excluded. RESULTS: In 27 patients serial non-directed bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (NBLF) samples were obtained: 16 patients were treated with rh-APC and 11 patients with placebo. The rh-APC infusion was associated with higher APC levels in plasma during the infusion period of 4 days (P = 0.001), as well as higher APC levels in NBLF up to day 5 after the start of the infusion (P = 0.028). An infusion of rh-APC was associated with lower levels of thrombin-antithrombin complexes (P = 0.009) and soluble tissue factor (P = 0.011) in NBLF, compared with treatment with placebo. An infusion of rh-APC affected fibrinolysis, as plasminogen activator activity levels in NBLF were higher in the patients treated with rh-APC (P = 0.01), presumably as a result of lower NBLF levels of plasminogen activator inhibitor 1, (P = 0.01). The rh-APC infusion decreased the lung injury score (P = 0.005) and simplified the acute physiology score (P = 0.013) on day 5, when compared with baseline. The rh-APC infusion was not associated with bleeding complications. CONCLUSION: An infusion of rh-APC in patients with ARDS attenuates pulmonary coagulopathy and injury.

Pulmonary effects of red blood cell transfusion in critically ill, non-bleeding patients.

The aim of the study is to evaluate the effects of red blood cell (RBC) transfusions on pulmonary parameters in critically ill, non-bleeding patients. Retrospective chart analysis was performed on critically ill patients without overt bleeding in the intensive care unit (ICU) of a university hospital. In 83 patients in a 5-month period, who had received at least 1 RBC unit and stayed at least 24 h in the ICU, 199 transfusions of median 2 RBCs per transfusion (n = 504) were studied. Pulmonary parameters were retrieved during the period between 24 h before the start of transfusion and 24-48 h after transfusion. Outcome was assessed. The P(a)O(2)/F(I)O(2) dose-dependently decreased from 250 +/- 105 at baseline to 240 +/- 102 mmHg at 24 h after RBC transfusion (P = 0.003), irrespective of acute lung injury at baseline and RBC storage time. The lung injury score (LIS) also increased dose-dependently, whereas, at 48 h, oxygenation and LIS largely returned to baseline. For every seven RBCs transfused, the LIS transiently increased by 1 unit. There were no changes in haemodynamics, lung mechanics or chest radiography. The total number of RBCs given in the ICU did not directly contribute to ICU and 1-year mortality prediction. Transfusion of RBCs decreases oxygenation thereby increasing the LIS, dose-dependently and transiently, in a heterogeneous population of critically ill, non-bleeding patients, independent of prior cardiorespiratory status and RBC storage time. The effects are subtle, may go unseen and unreported and may represent subclinical transfusion-related acute lung injury. They do not adversely affect outcome, even at 1-year follow-up.